2022 NFL Thanksgiving Games: Schedule, Picks, Odds, Injuries

2022 NFL Thanksgiving Games: Schedule, Picks, Odds, Injuries

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  • November 24, 2022
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6:45 p.m. ETespn generic m News For Everyone Zoohouse News

ESPN staff

The Week 12 NFL schedule for the 2022 season kicks off with three Thanksgiving Day matchups, and we’ve got you covered with what you need to know. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game and a bold prediction for every matchup.

Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information provides an essential stat and betting nugget for each competition, and our Football Power Index (FPI) breaks the numbers with a match prediction. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe also shares helpful fantasy football info. Finally, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us the final results for all three competitions. Everything you want to know is in one place so you can prepare for a packed afternoon of NFL football.

Let’s get to the entire Thanksgiving, including Josh Allen versus the Lions and an NFC East matchup between the Giants and Cowboys. The football-filled holiday culminates in a battle between the Patriots and Vikings. Who gets another step closer to postseason with a win on Thursday?

Jump to a matchup:
BUF-DET | NYG DAL | NE-MIN

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12:30 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: BUF -9 (54)

What to watch for: After a 6-1 start, the red-hot Lions are looking to extend a rare three-game winning streak in their first nationally televised matchup of the season. But the Bills are one of the toughest teams in the league and already know Ford Field, having just played at the Motor City after a snowstorm forced them to switch locations in Week 11, in the top 6 in points per game, yards per game and yards per game through 10 contests. -Eric Woodyard

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Bold prediction: Bills quarterback Josh Allen will have a full get-right play, throwing for over 300 yards and rushing at least 50 more. After a bumpy first half against the Browns, he put in a strong second-half performance in the win, completing 81.8% of his passes and throwing for 10.3 yards per attempt. The Lions defense has conceded the most yards per game (415.9) and yards per pass attempt (8.1) in the NFL. The Bills’ offense began to move in the right direction in the last two quarters of Sunday and the game against the Lions will be a great opportunity for a full performance. – Alaina Getzenberg

Fun fact: The Lions are aiming for their third straight game with 30 points, which would be their longest streak since 1997. A big reason they’re scoring points is running back Jamaal Williams, whose 12 rushing TDs this year are the most in the NFL and the sixth-highest in a single season in franchise history. Williams now has five games with multiple rushing touchdowns in 2022, the most in a season by a Lions player since 1950.

Injuries: Bills | lions

What you should know about Fantasy: Buffalo running back Devin Singletary has hit 15 fantasy points three times this season, and two of those instances have occurred in the past two weeks. He has 133 total rushing yards (66.5 per game) and three rushing TDs in his last two games. See ranking week 12.

Betting Nugget: Since 2004, Detroit has been 3-11 against the spread and 0-14 as an underdog on Thanksgiving. Detroit’s last surprise Thanksgiving win came in 2003 against Green Bay (+7). Continue reading.

Thanksgiving Day Recap: On Thanksgiving Day in 1997, Detroit running back Barry Sanders rushed for 167 yards and three touchdowns against the Bears in a 55-20 win for the Lions. Continue reading.

Moody’s choice: Bills 31, Lions 20
Walder’s choice: Bills 34, Lions 17
FPI Prediction: BUF, 82.7% (down an average of 11.2 points)

Matchup Must-Reads: Bills credits Buffalo Community after win, “That was for you” … Williams takes lead during Lions’ winning streak

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4:30 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: DAL -9 (44.5)

What to look out for: The Cowboys have beaten New York five times in a row at AT&T Stadium and 11 out of 12 overall against their NFC East rivals. This is the first Thanksgiving meeting for the two teams since 1992, a 30-3 Dallas win. But the vacation hasn’t been good for the cowboys lately. They have lost three straight Thanksgiving Day games, their longest streak since losing four straight games from 1986–89. – Todd Archer

Bold Prediction: Giants running back Saquon Barkley will rush for more than 140 yards to keep the game closed. The understaffed Giants will have no choice but to rely on Barkley even more than usual. It could work against a Dallas defense whose weakness is stopping the run. The Cowboys are ranked 26th in rushing defense (136.1 yards against per game), and Barkley has had two games with 30 or more carries and 140+ yards. Make them three. –Jordan Raanan

Fun fact: No quarterback has thrown touchdowns against the Blitz at a higher rate since the start of last season than the Cowboys’ Dak Prescott (11.4%). He has thrown 25 such touchdowns during that period, most of them in the NFL. That could be an issue for New York on Thursday. The Giants bring the Blitz at the highest rate in the NFL (43%).

Injuries: Giants | cowboys

Fun fact for fantasies: Dallas running back Tony Pollard has gained 464 yards on his 61 touches in his last three games, while fellow backfield Ezekiel Elliott has gained 241 yards on his last 61 touches. Pollard also has six scrimmage touchdowns since Week 8, which was the most in the NFL in that span with Jamaal Williams. His four straight games with 100 yards from scrimmage is also the longest active streak in the league. See ranking week 12.

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Stephania Bell and Field Yates break down Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott’s fantasy results.

Betting nugget: Since 2020, New York has been 7-0 against the spread in short-rest games — and all have been there with Daniel Jones as the starting quarterback. Continue reading.

Thanksgiving Day throwback: In 1982, Giants defensive end Lawrence Taylor intercepted Lions quarterback Gary Danielson in the fourth quarter, bringing him 97 yards back to the house for the starting shot — and eventually the game-winning — touchdown. Continue reading.

Moody’s Pick: Cowboys 28, Giants 21
Walder’s Pick: Cowboys 24, Giants 20
FPI Prediction: DAL, 87.2% (down an average of 13.6 points)

Matchup Must-Reads: What Does Jones Have To Prove To Be Part Of The Giants’ Future? … Where do Cowboys’ Elliott and Pollard stand among the elite RB duos? … Were the Giants exposed in Week 11? … Giants WR Robinson with a torn cruciate ligament into the season … What is Chef Hoppie cooking for the Cowboys stars on Thanksgiving?

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8:20 p.m. ET | ABC | Spread: MIN -2.5 (42)

What to look for: The Patriots have outplayed him in two duels with Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins, beating his teams both times and holding him to an average of 5.0 yards per attempt — his lowest stat against any team, whom he faced on multiple games. This season, the Patriots are relying on the kind of defense that’s also giving him problems. They put pressure on 34% of opponents’ dropbacks, the third-highest rate in the NFL. The Vikings will play without standout left tackle Christian Darrisaw (concussion) and the Cousins ​​QBR dropped 60 points while under pressure in 2022. – Kevin Seifert

Bold prediction: Quarterback Mac Jones and the Patriots’ struggling red-zone offense — which ranks 31st in the NFL in terms of TD percentage (12 of 28 trips, 42.9%) — will break out of a dip and twice scoring from the inside 20-yard line. This is one area where the Vikings have struggled on defense, as they rank last in the NFL for opponents’ touchdown percentage (20 TDs vs in 28 trips, 71.4%). – Mike Reiss

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Stats: The Patriots have conceded 17 points or fewer in all six wins this season (0-4 if 17+ points were conceded), and they have now gone two straight games without conceding a touchdown. New England have previously gone three straight without a TD in franchise history (2018-2019), and the Vikings went without a touchdown in Week 11 for the first time in their last 93 games.

Injuries: Patriots | viking

What you should know about Fantasy: Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson managed just 6.3 Fantasy points in last week’s blowout loss to the Cowboys after picking up 15 points in each of his previous six games. The last time he missed five passes in a game was in Week 3, and he followed that dud with back-to-back double-digit catches. See ranking week 12.

Betting Nugget: Minnesota (4-5-1 ATS) and Kansas City (4-6 ATS) are the third and fourth teams in the last 20 seasons to start 8-2 or better straight but set records against the spread have lost (2018 Rams, 2012 Ravens). Continue reading.

Thanksgiving Day recap: In 1998, Vikings receiver Randy Moss caught three passes for 163 yards against the Cowboys — and all three were on touchdowns. Continue reading.

Moody’s Pick: Vikings 24, Patriots 14
Walder’s Pick: Vikings 27, Patriots 19
FPI Prediction: MIN, 62.6% (down an average of 3.7 points)

Matchup Must-Reads: Patriots’ Punt Return TD With Seconds To Go Stuns Jets… After one of the worst losses ever for an 8-1 team, the Vikings’ narrative changes again… Patriots hope to flip the switch red zone and score more TDs… Jefferson, Vikings look to regroup after ’embarrassing’ loss

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